The FOMC Meeting of November/2022, the Press Conference at 2 PM, as per the US Federal Reserve website, is the eighth regularly scheduled meeting during the year. The remaining have been in a que to control inflation.
The FOMC, Federal Reserve, is almost widely foreseen to broadcast a 75 basis point hike around midnight on Wednesday, November 2, to combat red-hot inflation.
2022 FOMC Meetings
| January | 25-26 |
| March | 15-16 |
| May | 3-4 |
| June | 14-15 |
| July | 26-27 |
| September | 20-21 |
| November | 1-2 |
| December | 13-14 |
Although the market is pricing in a 75 basis point hike, experts advise waiting to see what the Fed decides to do instead of jumping to conclusions. Although the markets expect a 75 bps hike, it could also go for a 50 bps hike. In the aftermath of the November meeting, what will happen? How much does the market expect a downshift in December?
Over the last 13 trading sessions, the S&P 500 has gained 10%. The dollar has weakened quite a bit recently, real yields are down in the US, and it has done a fair amount of work. In recent sessions, VIX (The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) signals the level of fear or stress in the stock market—using the S&P 500 index as a proxy for the broad market—and hence is widely known as the “Fear Index.”) has fallen steadily. So, the financial conditions of the US have eased a bit.
Recently, Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook suggested that inflation remains unacceptably high and crossed the wire. For it to be controlled, interest rates must keep rising. The inflation rate is too high and must be brought down until the job is completed,” he said.
On the other side, Wells Fargo’s Michael Schumacher said to focus on the Fed meeting in November; there is no 75 bps hike.
According to one viewpoint, the Fed will want to err on the hawkish side at the September meeting or the Jackson Hole Summit. What is the point of letting up now? Should we wait until inflation decreases?
Investing strategist Ken Peng of Citi Private Bank told CNBC-TV18 that there was no real reason for the Fed to turn soft today since employment continues to rise. Inflation is still around 8%t despite tapering off, so the Fed will continue to focus on inflation.
The Wall Street stock market fell on Tuesday ahead of the Fed’s two-day meeting on Wednesday when it is expected to announce a 75-bps rate hike. A mixed trading session began on Wednesday morning in Asian markets.
Global investors are hoping for rates to stay on a steady path through 2023.
By the end of 2022, most economists predict a recession in the world’s largest economy.
“While the Fed will likely continue tightening through March before cutting in Q3 2023, we expect a recession to begin in Q4 2022,” Nomura said.
While the Fed has remained silent about a likely recession, we will have to wait and see if it spills the beans this time.
(Disclaimer: It is the experts’ own opinions, views, and suggestions that are presented. These do not represent the views of the DigitalCoinPrice)